Can the GOP Gain Senate Seats in States Trump Won? Latest from North Dakota By Phillip Howard

Can the GOP Gain Senate Seats in States Trump Won? Latest from North Dakota By Phillip Howard

There are ten Democratic Senators up for reelection this midterm in states that Donald Trump won in 2016. This series analyzes the state of these races now that Republican challengers are in place. This piece focuses on North Dakota, where incumbent Senator Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) is facing a difficult challenge from at-large Congressman Kevin Cramer (R-ND).

Cramer, a native of Kindred, received a Bachelor’s degree from Concordia College in Minnesota and a Master’s degree in Management from the University of Mary in Bismarck. Cramer was elected to the House of Representatives in 2012 as North Dakota’s only Representative, and easily defeated Thomas O’Neill in the GOP Senate primary earlier this year.

The North Dakota race is receiving national attention. Dr. Nick Bauroth, Associate Professor of Political Science at North Dakota State University, says as of right now, “Heitkamp is going to have a difficult election.” The election is “not impossible for her to win, but put together even a skin-of-the teeth-victory would be quite an accomplishment.”

 Photo by Charles Rex Arbogast/AP

Photo by Charles Rex Arbogast/AP

Heitkamp was praised by President Trump prior to the campaign. Trump called her a “good woman” during a September 2017 event and invited her to the White House in May for a ceremonial signing of a bank deregulation bill she co-sponsored.

Trump has subsequently supported Kevin Cramer, saying at a rally in Fargo earlier this month that North Dakota needs “a senator who doesn’t just talk like they’re from North Dakota, but votes like they’re from North Dakota. That’s what you need, and that’s Kevin Cramer.”

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North Dakota has become a battleground of sorts for President Trump’s trade policy, particularly with China. Agriculture provides the economic foundation for the state with Soybeans being a major crop. Both candidates have released campaign ads exchanging blows over trade.

Polls for the general election show a close race with some favoring Heitkamp (example here), and some favoring Cramer (example here), and all within the margin of error.

If to the degree there was any legitimacy to Anita Hill’s claims, and she tried and didn’t prevail, Clarence Thomas did and America did, this case is even more absurd because these people were teenagers when this supposed alleged incident took place.
— Rep. Kevin Cramer

Heitkamp’s vote on the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh, provided the Supreme Court nominee receives a vote, is something to look for. Heitkamp criticized Cramer’s comments about alleged sexual assaults brought forth by Anita Hill (regarding Clarence Thomas) and Christine Blasey Ford (regarding Kavanaugh).

Cramer initially described Ford’s allegations as “absurd,” and later clarified his belief it’s “hard not to be skeptical considering the timing and history of the allegation Brett Kavanaugh is facing.” Testimony by Kavanaugh and Ford will be a major focus of U.S. politics this week.


Phillip Howard is a graduate student at Utica College


 


 

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